Daily International Headlines

The rate of return of their 10-year bond moving respectively above 6.6% and 6.5%, close to the 7% threshold reached by Italy on November 9 and found unmanageable over time for countries with high indebted. Finally, Germany is in the viewfinder of many observers who believe the country could experience a domino effect on the market.

The market is also hampered by the failure of negotiations in the "super committee" responsible for the debt of the United States payday advance. The twelve members of the joint committee, composed of six Republicans and six Democrats were responsible for the deficit of 1200 billion and had until midnight Wednesday to share their findings.

After resisting the morning, the Paris index has increased its losses Tuesday mid-day, finishing down 1.43% to 3174.29 points. Parisian investors have expressed a wait-and very excited at the eve of an EU summit in crisis considered major. Sign of a strong wait-and trading volumes did not exceed 2.6 billion euros. Some profit taking after two sessions of strong gains also came influencing the trend. Less marked decline elsewhere in Europe, where the German Dax has limited its losses to 0.14% at 6045 points and the FTSE in London 0.41% to 5525.54 points.

Immersed for weeks in a deep pessimism, investors had played the crisis Friday and Monday. However, the ability of European leaders to respond definitively to the debt crisis is still struggling to convince.A phenomenon that confirm the disagreements between countries in the euro area on the measures to adopt, and just wiping out the gains Monday. If the preparatory meeting of finance ministers of 27 (Ecofin) has been canceled, the leaders of the euro area, however, continue to negotiate before the meeting tomorrow Wednesday of Heads of State and Government (first of 27 and 17 of the the euro area).

At the heart of the discussions: the recapitalization of banks, the amount of the discount of the Greek debt, and strengthening the European bailout fund (EFSF). According to one diplomatic source, the representatives of the banks would like to limit the discount to 40% volunteered to stabilize the Greek debt, against 50 to 60% required by the euro area.Moreover, concerns about the Italian situation is escalated, while Silvio Berlusconi may have trouble getting the promised reforms the last weekend to reduce the debt of his country. The Prime Minister pledged to push trans to 67 years of age retirement.

Diving morale of U.S. households

In this context, mixed economic data revealed the Atlantic have increased pessimism. Stabilization of U.S. house prices in August, according to the Case Shiller index, and the unexpected plunge in the morale of U.S. households in October, have reinforced doubts about the health of the world's largest economy.

By sector, banks are logically the most attacked, BNP Paribas, lost 3.75% to 30.80, Societe Generale fell back to 3.80%, to 19 euros. Axa was down 1.76% to 10.90 euros.François Fillon, French Prime Minister confirmed that the banks of the Hexagon should recapitalize to the tune of "ten billion euros."

In contrast, cyclical stocks including oil services, were well oriented, supported by oil prices that reached a high for about three months. Maurel & Prom has awarded 2.86% to 14.90 euros and CGG Veritas was up 1.21% to 16.73 euros.

Also against the current, and two days before unveiling its sales for the third quarter, the title of Plastic Omnium has continued to rise (3.35%, to 20.76 euros) having already jumped more than 10% two sessions. Finally, on the eve of the announcement of its quarterly revenue, PPR has taken the lead in the CAC 40 with a gain of 3.84% to 111 euros.

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On May 15 the "outraged" Spaniards camped in the square of Puerta del Sol in Madrid. Borrowing their name to the pamphlet by Stephen Hessel, they said they were inspired by the Arab Spring to shout their rebellion against the explosion of unemployment and austerity policies implemented by the government … Since then, the challenge has been extended in the rest of Europe but also overseas. Five months after the birth of the movement in Spain, in 82 countries is that these "outraged" will show this Saturday, October 15. Zurich to New York, to Rome, Tijuana, Hong Kong and Johannesburg, calls have been launched in 951 cities worldwide.

Their message to politicians and financial elites, as can be read on the site 15october, is: "The powers that be working for the benefit of some ignoring both the will of the majority that the price human and environmental we pay. This intolerable situation has to stop. "On the site of the movement Occupy Wall Street, the tone is the same:" The thing we all have in common is that we are the 99% who will not tolerate any longer the greed and the corruption of the remaining 1%. "In Italy, the program is summarized as follows: "Occupation of public places by millions of people who do not want to pay the enormous economic and social crisis in the place of those who have caused: political power industrial, economic and financial" .

No central authority

This day of action is to cross an important milestone in the movement, which now acquires an international dimension. "It was needed to make weight against the power of financial markets that operate on a global scale," says Sophie Banasiak, "indignant" Paris.

However, there is no central body to coordinate the different actions. "If the collective Democracia Real Ya played a leading role in the initial mobilization in Spain, he does not prevail, either in the capital of the country or world, Heloise said Nez, a sociologist at the University Paris 13.Many groups are working together, but none have hegemony over the movement horizontal and egalitarian aims. There is no visible head and outraged caregivers to regularly change the voice. "

"If someone asks you 'who is behind it', they reply: 'I'" retorted on those who seek the organizers. The spread of a city or country to another must be spontaneous, for emulation. A process greatly facilitated by social networks, where multiple keywords are emerging, such as "yeswecamp", "# yosoy15O", "# event15oct" or "# Globalrevolution" … "I do not even know exactly who launched the idea of ​​the October 15, recognizes Spyros, OccupyLSX supporter of the movement in London.We have seen that call for Saturday and it was inspired by the movement Occupy wall street to do the same thing here. "

Specific demands of each country

If dissatisfied with the world found common denominators, claims and complaints are divided again according to national issues. In Spain, Real Democracia Ya accent has been on the reform of the electoral law to end the two-party system as well as stopping the evictions of indebted owners. In Anglo-Saxon countries, it is mainly finance, pointed as responsible for the crisis, which is targeted. Witness the names of the movements that develop, "Occupy Wall Street" and "Occupy London Stock Exchange (OccupyLSX)." In Israel, the mobilization is the expensive housing while in Italy, the outraged refuse to pay "a debt they have incurred."But all these central issues do not prevent each protester to express other concerns. In Spain some point impunity surrounding crimes of Francoism and the United States is denounced police brutality or the death penalty …

Above all, each city retains its autonomy: information flows globally, but "decisions, they, are taken at meetings in every city, Banasiak said Sophie. Each city chooses its own way of decision. In Paris and Madrid for example, is the consensus. The international dimension does not change the fact that the essence of the movement is local: it is in the physical encounter and dialogue in the streets. "

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To allay the suspicion that surrounds the future of the single currency, Europe is beginning to have a somewhat more precise remedy to administer. For proof, Paris, which was until now very reluctant to discuss any other plan than that of July 21, hesitate, now, to openly discuss an alternative scenario.

First, European banks will have to be prepared to give up a larger share than expected of their claims on Greece. They will erase "probably more than 21%" expected, it was said Thursday the Department of Economics in Paris. Where we quick to point out that "it is no secret." "We are working on this issue" with Europe, they added. In Brussels, the figure of a discount of up to 50% is quoted."What we do not want is a credit event because it's an adventure," insists on the Ministry of Finance, where it is estimated, however, a "selective default" of the Greece "can be managed."

Once this fault act, he will then create a "confidence shock" at European level. Bercy is estimated that the French banks "are solid and have no problem of liquidity or solvency." However, "France is not deaf to the demands of the market for bank recapitalization." In other words, if the confidence shock has to go through the recapitalization, the Hexagon did not persist to refute.

Prohibit dividends

In the scenario that is emerging, which should be clarified at the EU summit of 23 October-, financial institutions would seek money on their own, in the markets.And the United States would open the "Windows" public that those who wanted to could come and borrow money guaranteed unsecured personal loan. "I'm not sure that French banks rush in!" Says a government source, thereby capturing the mood of the French bankers. The German bankers have also expressed their displeasure with Thursday to leaving the project "thinking that European banks are aware of alleged weaknesses." European level is mainly intended "to institutions that have failed the stress tests published in early summer, to those who have succeeded narrowly and perhaps a few regional banks," said Paris.

Nevertheless, the imperative that all will meet the objective of equity of 9% hard no later than mid-2012 that the EBA is about to impose.A figure Bercy "appropriate."

Will finally ensure that institutions do not go further curb the financing of the economy to meet this requirement. "To ensure that banks continue to finance the economy well, we can do things. It has, for example, how to play on their dividends, "said the entourage of the Minister of Economy, Baroin. In fact, the supervisory authority has the right to ban certain payments (dividends and bonuses, for example) as the level of fixed capital that is not achieved."If banks were not distributed as dividends in the last three years and focused on strengthening their capital, there might not be as urgent today," said a finance specialist.

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Traffic in transit will be disrupted Tuesday, following the call for mobilization of CGT-CFDT, UNSA, FSU-Solidarity, denouncing an austerity program "unacceptable" the government and require "a different distribution wealth. "

With the exception of SUD-RATP, which filed a notice of indefinite strike on July 31, no organization has called to stop work in transportation. However, the CGT federation filed a notice to the RATP and SNCF, and SUD-Rail, to allow agents who wish to go forward.

Here are the latest traffic forecasts:

• At the SNCF

On the night of Monday to Tuesday, all night trains Lunea are deleted.The traffic on Artesia (France-Italy relationship) and between France and Germany will be normal.

Tuesday, more than 4 of 5 TGV will travel to or from the arrival of Paris, except for the TGV Atlantique trains close to 3 out of 5, and more than one train an average of 2 on the TGV province-province.

For Transilien, traffic at peak hours will average close to 4 out of 10 trains, and for TER, the traffic will be close to 2 of 3 services at the national level. Locally, the traffic will go from 4 to 10 trains on a near-normal traffic by region.

The station also provides an average of 2 to train Intercity day (including Teoz).

No Lunea (domestic traffic at night) will flow, however the nights of Monday to Tuesday and Tuesday to Wednesday. On international routes to night, no disturbance is expected to Germany and Italy.Traffic will also be normal day on the Eurostar (England) and Thalys (Belgium, Germany) and virtually normal on Lyria (Switzerland).

Other lines of Paris-Nord-Est and Paris will have a service close to two out of three trains, and those of Paris-Saint Lazare, Paris-Montparnasse and Paris-Lyon train in two.

• In the RER, RATP zone

RATP provides 3 of 4 trains on the line A and line B, a train of 2 during peak hours and a train of four off-peak hours. The interconnection will be suspended from Gare du Nord, but maintained at Nanterre Préfecture.

For portions of RER managed by the SNCF, the traffic will be normal to the line A (Nanterre Préfecture Cergy and Poissy) and Line E. There will be a train of two outstanding lines of the RER B and C, without interconnection to Paris Nord.On the line D, it will take two trains an average of 3 indicates the station, with interconnection between Paris-Lyon and Paris Nord,

• In the metro and bus in Paris

For the metro, the RATP provides a normal or near normal traffic on all lines except lines 5, 7, 7a and 9, where it will take between a train and two trains of 2 to 3.

Traffic will be near normal for buses, as well as on lines 2 and 3 of the tramway. For Q1, there will be a ream of 2.

• By Province

The strike notice was deposited in 39 urban transit systems, including Lille, Marseille, Lyon, Bordeaux, Toulouse and Strasbourg.Such notice having been filed in most cases by only one union, the traffic should be only slightly affected.

The notice concerning the networks of the following cities: Amiens, Angers, Angouleme, Belfort, Besançon, Bordeaux, Bourges, Caen, Cannes, Chambéry, Dijon, Douai, Lille, Limoges, Lorient (strike 55 minutes), Lyon, Le Mans, Marseille (strike 3:30), Maubeuge, Metz, Montlucon, Montpellier, Moulins, Mulhouse, Nantes, Nice (strike from 9 to 12), Nimes (strike 9:30 to 10:30), Pau, Poitiers, Reims, Rennes, La Rochelle, Rouen, Royan, Saint-Nazaire (strike from 10:30 to 14h), Strasbourg, Toulouse, Tours, Vichy.

• To monitor traffic

Hotlines are available to travelers by SNCF: 0805.90.36.35 the Main Line, TER, Téoz and Intercity, and 0805.70.08.05 for Transilien.

For traffic forecasts, two websites are available: www.sncf.com and www.infolignes.com for all traffic forecasts.

For the RATP, is the number 0800.15.11.11.

Retirement: an age variable geometry

"We will not retire at age 60 as we passed in 1982," Manuel Valls Assen. "Nobody says that," irritated Martine Aubry. Yet behind the totem of 60 years Wednesday by waving the primary contenders, hiding the reality quite different. François Hollande only accepts the retirement at that age for those who already have all their quarters. And he sees this as an intermediate stage before a vast overhaul of the system. Manuel Valls as Jean-Michel Baylet also advocate to review everything but are more specific about their goal: a point system, "as in Sweden," says first, "a la carte," added the second.

This would eliminate the problem of legal age, everyone is free to stop work when he wants, even if just a small pension.Ségolène Royal promises, in turn, "the return to retirement at age 60, without any discount for those who have their useful contribution." Martine Aubry appear on the same line … which is precisely to return to 60 years as 1982, a slight difference: the contribution period required for a full pension will be more than 37.5 years. "When life expectancy increases, we must extend the contribution period," admits François Hollande. Well, this time, a point that is the consensus among the suitors, and who endorse the principle set by the Fillon reform of 2003.Holland and Valls even explicitly mention the term adopted in July by the government (41.5 years for 1955 and subsequent generations) in the jeers of the left.

Occupation: differences in hiring to firing

Martine Aubry does not believe in "contracts of generation" François Hollande (if exemption from the hiring of a youth while maintaining a senior in the workforce). In addition to cost 8 billion a year, it anticipates a "windfall" of companies. Ségolène Royal stigmatizes a new "social niche". As for the jobs of the future of Martine Aubry and Arnaud Montebourg, Manuel Valls speaks of an "ineffective measure" that will not allow young people to enter high quality business cards.While Segolene Royal wants to "put into law a ban on layoffs stock" and those "motivated by profitability alone," Martine Aubry wants to allow unions to "seize the court to appoint an interim administrator." François Hollande, he suggests increasing "financial sanctions" to fight against unfair dismissal.

Education: recruit or not?

The proposed François Hollande to create 60,000 jobs in Education in the five years, approved by Arnaud Montebourg, gives rise to a lively exchange with Martine Aubry. "It costs how much?" Quote the mayor of Lille. "2.5 billion euros," says the member for Corrèze. "I wanted to make sure that François Hollande, after proposing not to repeal the budget of Education, now wanted to increase by 2.5 billion euros," continues Aubry.

This in turn will "upgrade the salaries of teachers," "hire psychologists and doctors." Ségolène Royal has a different, for its part, the cost of hiring intended by Holland: "7 billion over five years since 500 million, they must pay every year and they are cumulative. " The president of Poitou-Charentes said that unions "are aware of the financial and budgetary difficulties of the country, and do not require a commitment as strong as this." It calls for "multi-annual programming as needed."

Medical deserts: the incentive constraint

Two camps are emerging. On the one hand, those who want to force young doctors to practice, at least for a few years in deficit areas: Montebourg, Aubry.On the other, those who believe that it will not work and prefer to stick to incentives: Valls, Baylet, Holland – even if it is ready to ban the facilities in the densest areas in doctors. Royal does not choose between two options, but imagine the "clinics with salaried physicians" in the suburbs or countryside.

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Concerns about the health of the U.S. economy once again weigh on the markets in Paris. In the wake of Wall Street the day before and Asian stock markets this morning, the CAC 40 lost more than 5%, falling well below the psychological threshold of 2800 points to 2791 points, having already fallen by 1.6% in the previous session. Same trend in other European stock exchanges: the London FTSE-100 lost 4.82% to 5150.06 points, the FTSE Mib in Milan, 3.73% to 13,593 points, the Dax in Frankfurt at 4.39% 5195 points, and the Ibex 35 in Madrid, 4.54% to 7837 points.

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While the specter of economic collapse now seems ruled out in Iceland, it is time to settle accounts. With the front line, the trial of former Prime Minister Geir Haarde, which opens Monday. Before the Landsdomur, unique court empowered to try ministers or former ministers, it must meet its responsibility for the collapse of the financial system in 2008. In a financial crisis, the three largest banks in the North Atlantic island have failed, as they held assets equivalent to 923% of its GDP. Prime Minister and head of the Independence Party (right), Geir Haarde was forced to hand over the resignation of his government in January 2009.

The firm, which will incur up to two years in prison, but hopes a dismissal during the trial, relying on a pure and simple abandonment of the prosecution.For him, it is only a "political farce" orchestrated by "old enemies" of opposition now in power. Evidenced, according to his lawyers, that it is the only politician to appear in court. They argue that the parliamentary committee responsible for determining the individual responsibilities of the former government had initially proposed the indictment of four people.

To many political scientists, this position of scapegoat undermines the credibility of the judicial process. "Unfortunately, the Althing (parliament, dominated by a leftist coalition, ie) was not smart in deciding to charge him," said political science professor Gunnar Helgi Kristinsson, University of Iceland cheap credit report.According to him, "shenanigans and personal stories have weighed heavily" in the current troubles of the former Prime Minister, who is the victim of a revenge from former opponents.

A European survey

In this "house cleaning", Reykjavik has added a European dimension. Icelandic President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson asked Sunday in Brussels to launch an investigation to determine how it may have allowed Britain and the Netherlands to exert such pressure on the country in case of bankruptcy Icesave bank in 2008. London and The Hague had then advanced 3.9 billion euros to compensate their nationals injured 340,000. But Icelanders have rejected state reimbursement of that amount in two referendums.But last Thursday, the bank Landsbanki, parent company of Icesave, said he had recovered sufficient funds to pay all bank deposits.

Instead of rushing to accept applications and "absurd" of Great Britain and the Netherlands, "experience shows that it may be wise to wait," commented the president of Iceland. Remarks that sound like a lesson for EU officials entangled in the debt crisis. While on the other hand, Iceland seems out of the woods, growing from 2% in the first quarter compared to the same period last year. Similarly, observers believe that the country could do without the final installments of the loan of 1.45 billion euros granted by the IMF after the collapse of its banking system.

Week of Living Dangerously! Parliament will enter tomorrow's review of the draft supplementary budget plan that includes financial support to Greece and the first steps-deficit made ten days ago by François Fillon. The goal? Vote on 12 billion euros in savings over two years which should enable France to comply strictly with its path to reduce public deficits and to keep its "AAA" rating from the rating agencies.

The debates will be difficult if one relies on the controversy that shook the majority in recent days about the increase in VAT on new theme parks. The revolt, led by former Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin, has also occupied much of the UMP conversations on campus this weekend in Marseille. And leads to development of François Fillon during his closing speech."Nothing is taboo and nothing is left," said the Prime Minister as an open … before closing the door. "The government is open to criticism and amendments, provided they do not involve the amount of effort or their balance, he warned. Consumption, business competitiveness and purchasing power of smaller should not be affected by the adjustments to be proposed. "

Competitive threat

To compensate for the 90 million shortfall in the expected drop – Finance Committee voted and announced by Jean-Pierre Raffarin following a meeting with Nicolas Sarkozy – the measure "theme parks" Gilles Carrez, the rapporteur of the budget UMP , offers a flat rate tax on luxury hotels room rates. An alternative measure already opposed by industry lobbyists.Frédéric Lefebvre, Secretary of State for Tourism, that the tax court "would deal a blow to the competitiveness of French tourism." At Bercy, it also highlights the fact that hotels could circumvent the tax by asking to be downgraded. As managers of the establishments referred, they fear that their net worth "going to other capitals cheaper." Who said it was easy to delete niches in France?

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The manager of the French railway network, Réseau Ferré de France (RFF), proposed on Thursday a 7.4% increase in tolls, the SNCF and its potential competitors will have to pay to circulate the TGV in 2013. After a 1.5% increase, which will be implemented in 2012, RFF describes his proposal for a "moderate".

These rates are still the subject of a bitter battle between the SNCF, which reiterates that these tolls threaten its business model, and RFF, who needs financial resources to sustain a railway network in poor condition quick payday loan. The increase was 6.4% in 2009 from 11% in 2010 and 11.7% in 2011.

For regional express trains (TER), the increase in tolls is generally softer: it should reach 2.5% in 2012 and 5% in 2013.On average, the increase should be 4.3% in 2013, while "inflation rail" suffered by RFF is 5.8%, says the network manager.

These proposals will be discussed until the end of October and will then be submitted to the Regulatory Authority rail operations (Araf).