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"There will be a reasonable evolutionary vision. By this sentence while caution Eric Woerth summarized what would be the attitude of the government on pension reform next week.

The text will be considered at the Assembly from Tuesday, when all the unions call a strike and demonstrate. "There will be many people in the street" without that "France would not France, already primed by the Minister of Labour, on Thursday, before the Association of business and financial journalists. No way to change "fundamentally" the bill after that day, but the government "will file amendments.

The game continues on balancing the grant "most important" requested by Wednesday François Chérèque (CFDT): 2018 reject the decision to raise from 65 to 67 years the age at which anyone can receive a full pension even without having contributed all his quarters. As it stands, the government draft plans to implement this measure in stages starting in July 2016 (ie, for all those born from July 1951) No fax payday loans.

Possible additional measures on the arduous

"It's very important that there be two terminals of age," argues the Minister of Labour, for whom it would be "unfair" that people with long and often deliberately interrupted their careers – housewives, for example – able from the same age as the others (60, 62 in 2018) without financial penalty.However, "I do not think everything is locked. Eric Woerth temporizes also possible additional measures to take account of hardship: "You can probably go a little further, it is unresolved. We allow a maximum time. "

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More than a month after the fiasco of the France team in South Africa, the French professional football is definitely getting worse. While professional football league (LFP) expected at worst to a deficit of 150 million euros, the National Monitoring Directorate Management (DNCG) has recently established its report on the finances of French professional clubs. And the finding is instructive: their accumulated loss stood at 180 million euros for the 2009-2010 season, including 140 million for the Ligue 1 clubs. Record. The precedent dating from the 2002-2003 season with a deficit of 167 million.

And yet, the French professional clubs we were accustomed to much better in recent years. "This deficit is due more to a sharp decline in revenue related to shipments by a sharp increase in spending that we had already seen last year," said Vincent warmShe expert sports Ineum Consulting.Today, the situation is simple, both for small than for large clubs: he must sell players first and then build his team. This is far from easy. Why?

Spanish and English clubs are more buyers

Their main "clients", English and Spanish clubs, bear the brunt of the economic crisis and could not like each year to buy the best French players. And unlike like the French clubs do not hesitate to buy great players, the calculation is done quickly. "This deficit is a matter of timing. French football is constantly lagging behind the economic cycle.The French clubs have spent much of last year through the renegotiation of TV contracts in 2006, and the establishment of the right to collective image (which exempts a portion of payroll taxes to pay athletes, can not exceed 30% of the total, Ed), whose clubs n (were really benefit in 2009, "said Vincent warmShe.

Although we are far from 800 million euros of debt the English club Chelsea in January erased by its Russian owner Roman Abramovich. But the fact that this ad is not necessarily good news when we know that UEFA is planning to launch its draft financial fair play in UEFA's two years at the initiative of … France. Thus, from the 2012-2013 season, clubs will no longer spend more than they earn.Again, the French clubs are not the worst placed in terms of expenditure, but in terms of income, they are far from being the first …

If one were to summarize the 2010 summer transfer window, we would call dull. Like any economic activity, football suffers from the crisis. Marseille and Lyon have already purchased a lot last year and Paris and Bordeaux have had a sporting season 2009-2010 more than complicated. Thus, the OM has bought Andre-Pierre Gignac and Loic Remy because they sold Mamadou Niang (at Turkish club Fenerbahce) and lent Hatem Ben Arfa (at English club Newcastle).

Aulas has made "a little fun"

What about Lyon? Until the "little pleasure" that became Jean-Michel Aulas, the Lyon president of purchasing Yoann Gourcuff for $ 22 million last Tuesday, the club Lyon had previously spent only 6 million euros with the former Rennes Jimmy Briand.Far from 82 million spent a year earlier. "Unlike the big Italian clubs, English or Spanish, French clubs can not afford a repeat of" such "transfer window several times. The DNCG requires them to control their spending. And when the crisis gets involved … "Says one expert.

Last year like this year, Lyon as Marseille have sold less and less purchased. But the fact remains the same: they have spent more than sold. The OL has purchased $ 28 million and sold for 3 million in summer 2010 transfer window (82 million against 45.5 million in the transfer window in 2009). For the OM, the losses amount to 13 million euros in the summer 2010 transfer window (about 23 million euros in the transfer window in 2009). For their part, had to sell Gourcuff Bordeaux to balance its accounts and finally Paris Saint Germain all the trouble to sell his "big bucks" to be able to buy a defender. The crisis affects everyone.Relatively speaking …

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What are the main principles of pension reform that will defend from 7 September to the National Assembly?

This reform is reasonable, fair, progressive and effective. It has three main points: a new age of retirement, taking into account the hardship for the first time in France, and a reconciliation between the public and private sectors. Increase to 62 the legal age of retirement is to hold an age of reason, drawing conclusions from the fact that we live longer. Simply increasing the contribution period was rather unreasonable: we should bring to 47 the contribution period to balance the system. By raising the bar to 62 years in 2018, we will remove the pension deficit at that date and until 2020.Afterwards he will talk again, this is normal.

Amendments will be tabled during the parliamentary debate to improve the consideration of the strain at work. What do they consist?

France is the first country to do so the link between pensions and arduous. In the current state of reform, an employee with a disability rating of 20% will retain the right to retire at age 60. I have long listened to the unions and specialists in this question. We need to look if you can better respond to situations of "arduous delayed effect ', that is to say, the case of employees who have had a very exhausting life, but are not medically verifiable when they are retiring. We are also looking at improving the prevention, because the first response to the hardship is to avoid being exposed.We must go further on this issue and improve the traceability of exposure to proven situations of difficulty. We are also considering the organization of occupational medicine for it plays a more important role in this field.

You're not afraid to create a new gas plant?

We will do everything to avoid it as too complex creates injustice. The common law, it will be 62 in 2018. Devices to keep the retirement age to 60 will be fair and operational. About 700,000 people retiring each year, 100,000 will retain the right to leave at 60 when our reform passed through the devices' hardship 'and' long careers.

Do you lower the threshold of 20% disability rate for the consideration of the hardship?

I think that this threshold is realistic.

And for polypensionnés, what do you do?

40% of employees who liquidate their retirement have contributed to several schemes. It is a question more complex than it seems. Some polypensionnés have interest to be because they have such validate more than four quarters per year. We are looking for greater consistency between pension plans, but we want to look at the issue from both sides: the losers of the current system, but also its winners.

When do you intend to publish these amendments?

Nothing is off but probably in the days following the opening of the debate at the meeting. Besides, by then I continue my consultations with Georges Tron.

Bernard Thibault began to worry that the debate on pensions is overshadowed by these cases. Do you see an attack against you?

No.I welcome the attitude of unions who have not howled with the wolves and do not participate in the hunt for the man I'm costs. Bernard Thibault do regret that the controversy overshadowed the debate on the merits of the reform. I think this results from the Socialist Party will do everything to avoid talking about a subject that divides them: the pensions.

Do you fear the mobilization of Sept. 7?

A significant reform, significant mobilization. But the French know that they live longer, it makes sense to share the extra time between work and retirement.

Are you afraid of being targeted by demonstrators on September 7?

That there are banners in my name or my image, I expect, since the opposition instrumentalist my name to caricature the debate on pensions.

Do you remain Minister of Labour after the pension reform or after the redesign?

I will do what the president wants me to do. But I feel very good in this department where I still have many projects to bear.

Which?

Once the pension law passed, we will undertake consultations on the reform of dependence. With Nora Berra we have made great progress on technical solutions but it is still too early to prejudge the financial terms of this reform. I intend, moreover, to resume with Nadine Morano the issue of inequality between men and women who did not sufficiently advanced, despite the many laws passed during the last fifteen years. I will also work on the topic of workplace violence. I have not forgotten the policy of the city.We need to support experiments in a pool of fifty jobs with Fadela Amara.

"Segolene Royal is poorly placed to give me a moral lesson"

Do you fear one day be referred to the Court of Justice of the Republic about the case Bettencourt?

I am very serene. I have nothing to reproach myself in this case, I am guilty of any conflict of interest and have already had occasion to explain in detail each of the charges which I have been .

Why then the Attorney General of the Court of Appeal considered there this solution?

I have not read that he was considering! He simply, if I understand correctly, responded to a letter which was sent. It examines the issues that are submitted before a decision is his role. I did not comment.However, I can only wonder at the letter sent by Corinne Lepage, who is a political process. I see that right now many are looking to be taking me as a scapegoat. But it's still a shame to receive lessons in morality from someone like her! What was her husband when she was Minister of the Environment? Do not he headed a law firm, specifically in the environment?

You speak of "stoning political" about you. Who are you targeting?

When I hear Ségolène Royal to denounce France 2 20 hours of the "billionaires of the UMP," I say we're living in delirium. The "billionaires UMP" as she says, have given a maximum of 7,500 euros, transparently, under control of the commission of the campaign accounts, in strict compliance with the rules of financing of political life.And at the same time, Ms. Royal is funded by Pierre Bergé. She was sentenced by the court for the conditions under which it has paid two former collaborators, is poorly placed to give me a moral lesson. I have nothing to reproach myself, and I am sure that the judicial process, whatever the judge, will prove it.

Aim to highlight you still not back so weakened that?

It seeks to weaken me! But I do not feel at all weakened. Throughout the summer there has been a little game of trying to prove so-called affairs on my municipal campaign, the sale of land at Compiegne … Every time, everything has deflated half a day. An accumulation of rumors and slander is not a truth. What sites are seeking to do business commercial on my back does not make me guilty.

Your absence from the meeting Brégançon around the head of state, last week, is it not a denial?

The meeting focused on fiscal deficits and budget preparation. I just remember that I am no longer Minister of Budget. Therefore my presence was not normal.

A new request for a hearing she will soon be presented to the Cabinet?

I have no idea. Again, all this, they are rumors spread by some newspapers or sites. I believe in freedom of the press, but I do not believe in freedom to slander.

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LE FIGARO. – Do you double dip scenario?

I believe more in a low growth as a relapse of the activity. There have been a very sharp slowdown, as the pace of growth fell from 5% at end 2009 to 1.6%. These figures, subject to some volatility, however, overstate the true extent of the downturn even if the coming quarters, many uncertainties remain.

Let's start with the volatility …

The restocking of companies boosted the activity at year end, without any increase in imports. The opposite effect has played in the first quarter. Despite the slowdown of GDP, domestic demand excluding inventories accelerated, rising by over 4% annual rate in the second quarter. The latest indicators (monthly or weekly) are obviously more worrying, especially in real estate.However, we do not rely on the construction as an engine of the economy!

What drives the U.S. economy?

Exports are an important driver. They rose 15% between mid-2009 and mid-2010 and continue to grow at a rate of 10% per annum. Investment in equipment has also greatly contributed to the recovery since late 2009.

What can we expect consumption?

Two elements of condition, the rate of savings and disposable income. Households who have seen their assets melt, have sought to rebuild their savings. Their savings rate, which now exceeds 6% – against less than 2% in 2007 – should now be stabilizing. Changes in consumption should therefore, over the next month, depending on that of their disposable income and therefore the payroll.So far, the increase in weekly hours of work allowed a reasonable growth of income despite the weakness in job creation. But after hours of work returned to normal, job creation of about 130,000 each month will be needed to avoid a recurrence of the activity. But the last three months, there was an average of only 50,000 jobs created in the private sector.

Is there any new stimulus package?

Even if they are significantly smaller than before the crisis, the leeway of economic policy are not necessarily zero. Two measures are also to be discreetly passed: an extension of the duration of unemployment benefits and federal funding of $ 26 billion to states. Americans are pragmatic: whether to again support the economy, they will.The Federal Reserve may also help prevent a recession by pushing more time to raise rates and, especially, in announcing a new program of buying shares of Treasury bonds.

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"We are confident in the future," says Olivier Piou, CEO of Gemalto, with BFM Radio, which recently released its results on Thursday for the first half of 2010. So much so that the specialist manufacturer of digital security and smart cards, SIM cards and electronic passports is a turnover of one billion euros in the second half. "The acquisitions made early nosu costs a little money, but we must continue to invest. We can because we are confident, "says CEO of Gemalto. Gemalto has "changed dimension. Now we're a start-up. When I arrived in the company, I do not think I'd still be in office with such a turnover, "he says.

"Lack of communication of the group"

A trust that does not necessarily share the financial markets.At 9:30, the action Gemalto shows a decrease of 4.28% to 28.19 euros in a market up 1.07%, the largest drop in the SRD. "This drop is excessive, an analyst who follows reacts value. The elements that have affected the first half performance was known. The discrepancy between results and expectations of the market indicates a lack of communication from the group. "

Gemalto in line with the consensus

However, the group released under the first-half turnover of 840 million euros, up 5% at current exchange rates. "We accelerated our offers have been very well received, because they correspond to a real need," said Olivier Piou. There is a real market potential of contactless payments, particularly in Africa and South Asia.In France, we are in trouble because we took too far ahead. "

The group's net profit amounted to 63 million euros, down 7.35% from a year earlier. "Today, the consensus of analysts is around 200 million euros profit the year is well within our range," says Olivier Piou. In 2009, the group posted a net profit of 148 million euros.

No new acquisitions

In addition, Gemalto first half operating profit down 15.2% to 67 million euros but he "remains in line with the company plan to increase its result in 2010," the group said in its statement. Gemalto is 300 million euros in income from operating activities in 2013.Of the three main activities of Gemalto, security has the highest increase (+21%) in the first half to 148.2 million euros (17.6% of sales) to the mobile phone (8%) to 451.7 million euros (53.8% of sales) and secure transactions (1%) to 207.4 million euros (24.7% of sales).

After several acquisitions, including the United States and Germany, the group does not provide new acquisitions. Olivier Piou said that Gemalto had to concentrate in the second half on the integration of recent operations.

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The fall is twice larger than expected. Sales of existing homes in the United States have unscrewed from 27.2% in July compared to June, according to figures released Tuesday by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). A statistic which agrees with the economists providing a relapse of the U.S. economy.

Sales of existing properties and have hit a 15-year low in July. The June sales have they been revised downward to 5.26 million units, against 5.37 previously.

These figures are certainly worse than expected catastrophic but are not a total surprise. They indeed correspond to the decision of the tax credit established by the Federal Government to support sales. "Citizens are very rationally rushed on the market before the expiry of the measure in May," says Laurence Yun, chief economist of the NAR."Since that date, signature of contracts of sale were far less numerous. Expect a break until late September. "Other economists expect a further slide in sales volumes until 2011.

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Radio Silence. Since the leaks to the press last July that Sanofi-Aventis has made an initial offer of $ 69 per share or 18.4 billion dollars, the pharmaceutical company and the American biotechnology company, Genzyme, have decided to no longer communicate on the subject. On the occasion of the publication of the results of the group in late July, the CEO of Sanofi-Aventis, Chris Viehbacher, confirmed to Le Figaro that the group will continue its acquisition policy. "We will continue to make acquisitions. We work on small and medium-sized operations. Small can be up to 5 billion dollars. The averages may reach twenty billion dollars. However, we do not want mega-mergers. ".

Between $ 75 and $ 80

A silence that analysts interpret as the beginning of discussions between the two parties.And, according to The Wall Street Journal, these negotiations have started badly. While Sanofi encamp on his positions, namely an initial offer of 69 dollars per share, the leaders of Genzyme seller would not be below 80 dollars. "I do not see Sanofi pay more than $ 80. However, the shareholders present capital of Genzyme – Relational and Carl Icahn – will not accept offers of less than 75 dollars, "said Hervé Manign, specializing in mergers and acquisitions. If Sanofi-Aventis declined to specify the amount of the envelope before it, the analysts amounting around 20 billion euros. The group comes easily to renegotiate a credit line of $ 7 billion to 2015.

"Sanofi is not obliged to do this operation"

If both parties wish that the discussions continue, they must s'entendrent on the initial offer."Genzyme is a very tempting prey for Sanofi, because it would allow him to catch up on organic products, which have the advantage of being more difficult to generics, said Herve Mangin. But Sanofi is not obliged to do this. On the one hand, an acquisition too expensive tarnish the good investments made by Chris Viehbacher since his arrival at the head of the group. On the other hand, it would force the group to increase its capital, which would reduce the value of the transaction.

A month ago, Sanofi-Aventis published in the second quarter sales up 4.6% to 7.8 billion euros, but down 1.2% at constant exchange rates. Net income from operations rose 7.6% to 2.5 billion (+4.5% at constant exchange rates).If the activity is driven by emerging markets (+19.4% organic growth for the half year), sales in Europe and the United States will continue to decline with further loss of patents, but after 2013 the group remains confident with the launch of new products. Sanofi-Aventis development Jevtana particularly in the treatment of prostate cancer has just been approved in the United States, and iniparib (BS1201) in the treatment of breast cancer.

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On Monday, the euro has exceeded a threshold important to the dollar. Crossing $ 1.32 per euro, the European currency has confirmed that his movement assessment started in June was solid. According to technical analysis, once reached this milestone, "there should be a rally towards $ 1.34."

The explanations are manifold, since by definition, when the exchange rate Euro / Dollar rises, it may come from a strong euro, but also a weaker dollar. In this case, currently, the two factors at play.

The euro rises

First, the rise of the euro reflects a growing confidence in Europe.If the euro has fallen more than 20% in less than six months, overwhelmed by the problems of sovereign debt, Greek, Portuguese, Spanish, Irish, etc.. Have even questioned the existence of the euro, European currency recovers while the EU has proven, with the IMF, she was desperate to save a member of the bankruptcy, and it would be tough on states to put in stringent budgetary policies.

The renewed confidence is also bolstered in recent weeks by a series of rather positive economic statistics in Europe. Especially in Germany.

The dollar drops

On the other hand, the dollar decline. First, the inverse relationship between changes in U.S. equity markets and the greenback continues to hold. But Wall Street has recovered well in July (7.18% on the month for the Dow Jones) and the month of August has begun.In reality, investors are becoming more appetite for risk and sell the dollar in favor of assets or currencies more risky.

On the other hand, the economic statistics on U.S. rather disappointed and shed doubt on the strength of the recovery across the Atlantic. Good reasons to abandon the dollar.

The yen is at its highest in fifteen years

The weaker dollar also largely explains the surge in the yen, which reached a higher Wednesday since April 1985. What open competitive Japanese companies, including the key word for success is export.

For three months, the dollar has lost 9.48% against the yen. A worrying trend: according to calculations by the OECD, a 10% appreciation of the yen would cut growth by 0.2 percentage points in the first year and 0.4 the second and third year."The impact is not significant when the forecast is 2-3% growth per annum over the next two years," relativized in a note Takuji Okubo, senior economist at Societe Generale IPC.

According to Raymond Van der Putten, Japan specialist at BNP Paribas, "the yen's appreciation is mainly due to poor growth expectations in the United States."

IN BRIEF – Australian dollar and sterling

The doubling of the surplus balance of trade of Australia and its implications for sustained economic growth, has rekindled hopes of a future market for new rate hike by the Australian central bank, providing support this morning the Australian dollar.

In the United Kingdom, the earnings published by the UK banks have supported the pound sterling, which reached a high of six months against the U.S. dollar.

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The Dow Jones wins 0.92% at the opening. The Nasdaq, 1.23%. And the S & P, 1.31%. From the first minutes of trading, the indexes have increased their earnings. The Dow Jones already posted a gain of 1.23% to 10,595.06, while the S & P 500 1115.12 1.23% to taking and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.1% to 2279.52 .

The month of August begins on sound footing, after a month of July under the sign of the rally. Wall Street has indeed the balance Friday night, but after a volatile session. The Dow Jones has sold just 0.01% at 10,466 points, but has had its best monthly performance (7.18%) last year. The Nasdaq was awarded 0.13% to 2255 points. In July, the Nasdaq and the Standard & Poor'500 have earned 6.9%.

The slowdown, confirmed the U.S. economy, however, has influenced the trend.In fact, the Commerce Department announced preliminary second quarter GDP rose just 2.4% annualized, while the consensus was expecting 2.5 and he had grown more openly 3.7% first quarter. Traders are still welcomed other indicators more encouraging: the Chicago PMI for July was well above expectations (even if relapse at its lowest since November 2009) and the final index of consumer sentiment for July improved slightly although it remains a net withdrawal a month.

On Monday, investors showed they appreciated the performance of enterprises. The KBW index of bank took 1.69%, encouraged by the strong results presented today by BNP Paribas and HSBC.

The ISM manufacturing index is expected with caution

On the face of macroeconomic indicators, meanwhile, on Friday, the U.S. employment report, investors will closely monitor the publication at 16:00 on Monday, the ISM manufacturing index for July (consensus 54) index ISM activity in the industry, which could either be moderating further, but also show that on Monday the 12th consecutive month of growth in manufacturing output. It could increase by 54.6% against 56.2% previously. It also is known that at 16:00 the index of construction spending for June, due in slight decline of -0.5% against -0.1% previously.

"Employment and consumer credit (Friday) will be crucial electronic check payday advance.Other market movers are, unsurprisingly, the two ISM surveys, analysts said Aurel Bgc. Investors have "overreacted" to last week regional surveys, which are very volatile … The ISM manufacturing index, released today, will determine the market trend over the week. "

Latest quarterly publications before the summer break

On the corporate side, no new publication will boost the morale of investors. Indeed, the largest quarterly publications arrive this week to an end, on both sides of the Atlantic after the accounts variously appreciated Merck, Chevron, McAfee or Friday, "recently published expected these days This should provide some important information and news on different sectors of activity, analysts said Aurel Bgc.

This week will publish in fact the computer services company VeriSign (Monday), and Electronic Arts, as well as Pfizer, Dow Chemical, Procter & Gamble (Tuesday).It will then turn to Time Warner (Wednesday) and Kraft Foods and Viacom (Thursday).

The investors also will keep an eye on the pharmaceutical giant Bristol-Meyers, and the other on the pharmaceutical distributor CVS Caremark, who will pay interim dividends.

In the news this Monday, Ford (1.63% to 12.98 U.S. dollars) has announced having completed the sale of the Volvo automobile brand and related assets in China Zhejiang Geely to $ 1 8 billion.

Walt Disney (-1.75% to 34.28 dollars) will also be closely watched after the announced sale of its studio Miramax for more than 660 Million Dollars to Filmyard Holdings.

The acquisition of Alico by the insurer MetLife (-0.45% to 41.87 dollars) will not bring much to the insurer that he had hoped and the latter announced Monday a program to increase capital to finance this acquisition.First life insurance company in the U.S., MetLife now expects an increase in its annual operating profit of between 40 and 45 cents per share. The group had initially estimated that the acquisition of Alico would be accretive to its results between 45 cents to 55 cents per share in 2011.